tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Chicago via Detroit: arrives on time 87%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 07:55 DTW
    DL 2596 · Delta · 1h 55m · 91% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 38m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:33 DTW → 11:04 ORD
    AA 4103 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 35m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 68 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 38m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip6h 08mEWR 06:00 to ORD 11:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.