tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Rochester via Detroit: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:00 EWR → 07:55 DTW
    DL 2596 · Delta · 1h 55m · 91% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:20 DTW → 11:46 ROC
    DL 4120 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 26m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 100 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 46mEWR 06:00 to ROC 11:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.