tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 53%

  1. 16:40 MSN → 20:04 ATL
    DL 2599 · Delta · 2h 24m · 86% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:55 ATL → 22:47 DCA
    DL 378 · Delta · 1h 52m · 66% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip5h 07mMSN 16:40 to DCA 22:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.