tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Denver via Atlanta: arrives on time 64%

  1. 16:40 MSN → 20:04 ATL
    DL 2599 · Delta · 2h 24m · 86% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:54 ATL → 22:12 DEN
    DL 493 · Delta · 3h 18m · 79% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h behind Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip6h 32mMSN 16:40 to DEN 22:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.