tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Phoenix via Detroit: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:08 BWI → 07:40 DTW
    DL 2601 · Delta · 1h 32m · 94% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:45 DTW → 09:56 PHX
    DL 1070 · Delta · 4h 11m · 80% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 48mBWI 06:08 to PHX 09:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.