tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Jacksonville via Detroit: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:08 BWI → 07:40 DTW
    DL 2601 · Delta · 1h 32m · 94% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:29 DTW → 10:49 JAX
    DL 2333 · Delta · 2h 20m · 89% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip4h 41mBWI 06:08 to JAX 10:49, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.