tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Norfolk via New York: arrives on time 33%

  1. 17:59 DTW → 19:50 LGA
    DL 2604 · Delta · 1h 51m · 61% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:55 LGA → 22:52 ORF
    DL 5332 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 57m · 63% on time, 16.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (16.7% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip4h 53mDTW 17:59 to ORF 22:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.