tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Grand Rapids via New York: arrives on time 39%

  1. 17:59 DTW → 19:50 LGA
    DL 2604 · Delta · 1h 51m · 61% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:00 LGA → 23:24 GRR
    DL 5659 · Delta, flown by Republic · 2h 19m · 74% on time, 20.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (20.8% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip5h 20mDTW 17:59 to GRR 23:24, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.