tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 76%

  1. 10:00 TPA → 11:35 ATL
    DL 2605 · Delta · 1h 35m · 90% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 32m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:07 ATL → 15:31 SDF
    DL 3195 · Delta · 1h 24m · 79% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 107 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 32m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 31mTPA 10:00 to SDF 15:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.