tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → San Francisco via Atlanta: arrives on time 64%

  1. 10:00 TPA → 11:35 ATL
    DL 2605 · Delta · 1h 35m · 90% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 4h 00m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:35 ATL → 17:31 SFO
    DL 823 · Delta · 5h 02m · 66% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 10h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 195 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 00m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip10h 37mTPA 10:00 to SFO 17:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.