tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Kansas City via Minneapolis: arrives on time 53%

  1. 17:40 IAH → 20:32 MSP
    DL 2617 · Delta · 2h 51m · 74% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 MSP → 22:58 MCI
    DL 1657 · Delta · 1h 31m · 76% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 21mIAH 17:40 to MCI 22:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.