tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Anchorage via Minneapolis: arrives on time 62%

  1. 17:40 IAH → 20:32 MSP
    DL 2617 · Delta · 2h 51m · 74% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 41m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:13 MSP → 00:59 ANC +1 day
    DL 411 · Delta · 5h 42m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 3 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 56 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 41m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip10h 15mIAH 17:40 to ANC 00:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.