tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 52%

  1. 12:41 TUL → 15:45 ATL
    DL 2620 · Delta · 2h 04m · 84% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:40 ATL → 18:33 DCA
    DL 950 · Delta · 1h 53m · 65% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Tulsa). Times are local. Both flew on 42 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip4h 52mTUL 12:41 to DCA 18:33, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.