tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Dallas-Fort Worth via Atlanta: arrives on time 26%

  1. 18:27 RDU → 20:01 ATL
    DL 2621 · Delta · 1h 37m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:50 ATL → 22:11 DFW
    DL 3161 · Delta · 2h 22m · 55% on time, 4.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection49%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 51% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time26%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (49%) × second flight not cancelled (4.1% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip4h 45mRDU 18:27 to DFW 22:11, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.