tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Washington via Atlanta: arrives on time 34%

  1. 18:27 RDU → 20:01 ATL
    DL 2621 · Delta · 1h 37m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:55 ATL → 22:47 DCA
    DL 378 · Delta · 1h 52m · 66% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip4h 20mRDU 18:27 to DCA 22:47, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.