tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → San Francisco via Salt Lake City: arrives on time 59%

  1. 08:10 MSP → 10:04 SLC
    DL 2628 · Delta · 2h 54m · 93% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Salt Lake City (SLC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:00 SLC → 12:08 SFO
    DL 902 · Delta · 2h 08m · 66% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip5h 58mMSP 08:10 to SFO 12:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.