tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → San Francisco via Atlanta: arrives on time 64%

  1. 09:58 RDU → 11:22 ATL
    DL 2634 · Delta · 1h 24m · 95% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 4h 13m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:35 ATL → 17:31 SFO
    DL 823 · Delta · 5h 02m · 66% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 10h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Raleigh/Durham). Times are local. Both flew on 43 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 208 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 13m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip10h 39mRDU 09:58 to SFO 17:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.