tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Phoenix via Atlanta: arrives on time 73%

  1. 05:10 BNA → 07:20 ATL
    DL 2637 · Delta · 1h 10m · 95% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:10 ATL → 09:11 PHX
    DL 348 · Delta · 4h 01m · 81% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 01mBNA 05:10 to PHX 09:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.