tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Minneapolis via Atlanta: arrives on time 58%

  1. 13:03 RIC → 14:52 ATL
    DL 2650 · Delta · 1h 45m · 90% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:38 ATL → 17:16 MSP
    DL 2981 · Delta · 2h 39m · 74% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Richmond). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip5h 14mRIC 13:03 to MSP 17:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.