tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → San Francisco via Salt Lake City: arrives on time 52%

  1. 12:29 MSP → 14:22 SLC
    DL 2651 · Delta · 2h 53m · 90% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Salt Lake City (SLC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:10 SLC → 16:12 SFO
    DL 1088 · Delta · 2h 05m · 66% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip5h 46mMSP 12:29 to SFO 16:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.