tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Santa Ana via Salt Lake City: arrives on time 71%

  1. 12:29 MSP → 14:22 SLC
    DL 2651 · Delta · 2h 53m · 90% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Salt Lake City (SLC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:15 SLC → 16:11 SNA
    DL 1277 · Delta · 1h 56m · 84% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip5h 42mMSP 12:29 to SNA 16:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.