tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Salt Lake City: arrives on time 83%

  1. 12:29 MSP → 14:22 SLC
    DL 2651 · Delta · 2h 53m · 90% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 58m layover in Salt Lake City (SLC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:20 SLC → 21:03 XNA
    DL 3620 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 43m · 85% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 133 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 58m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip8h 34mMSP 12:29 to XNA 21:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.