tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Seattle via Minneapolis: arrives on time 41%

  1. 16:31 ATL → 18:09 MSP
    DL 2654 · Delta · 2h 38m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:55 MSP → 20:48 SEA
    DL 881 · Delta · 3h 53m · 75% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip7h 17mATL 16:31 to SEA 20:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.