tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Denver via Minneapolis: arrives on time 56%

  1. 10:52 IAH → 13:41 MSP
    DL 2656 · Delta · 2h 49m · 82% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:27 MSP → 15:38 DEN
    DL 1025 · Delta · 2h 11m · 80% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 46mIAH 10:52 to DEN 15:38, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.