tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Tampa via New York: arrives on time 70%

  1. 12:53 MSP → 17:00 JFK
    DL 2661 · Delta · 3h 07m · 84% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 59m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:59 JFK → 23:23 TPA
    DL 1636 · Delta · 3h 24m · 76% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 9h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 134 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 59m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip9h 30mMSP 12:53 to TPA 23:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.