tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Tampa via Atlanta: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:00 BUF → 08:10 ATL
    DL 2664 · Delta · 2h 10m · 86% on time, 2.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 04m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:14 ATL → 12:45 TPA
    DL 1099 · Delta · 1h 31m · 85% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 139 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 04m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.5% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 45mBUF 06:00 to TPA 12:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.