tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charleston → Philadelphia via Detroit: arrives on time 42%

  1. 18:39 CHS → 20:47 DTW
    DL 2676 · Delta · 2h 08m · 82% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:35 DTW → 23:17 PHL
    DL 2402 · Delta · 1h 42m · 81% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip4h 38mCHS 18:39 to PHL 23:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.