tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charleston → Newark via Detroit: arrives on time 43%

  1. 18:39 CHS → 20:47 DTW
    DL 2676 · Delta · 2h 08m · 82% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:40 DTW → 23:29 EWR
    DL 2609 · Delta · 1h 49m · 71% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip4h 50mCHS 18:39 to EWR 23:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.