tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Knoxville via Minneapolis: arrives on time 61%

  1. 14:35 IAH → 17:26 MSP
    DL 2678 · Delta · 2h 51m · 68% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 19m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:45 MSP → 23:01 TYS
    DL 5527 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 2h 16m · 72% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival (Knoxville is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 94 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 19m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip7h 26mIAH 14:35 to TYS 23:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.