tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Salt Lake City via Minneapolis: arrives on time 34%

  1. 14:35 IAH → 17:26 MSP
    DL 2678 · Delta · 2h 51m · 68% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:13 MSP → 20:07 SLC
    DL 2607 · Delta · 2h 55m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 33mIAH 14:35 to SLC 20:07, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.