tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Washington via Minneapolis: arrives on time 44%

  1. 14:35 IAH → 17:26 MSP
    DL 2678 · Delta · 2h 51m · 68% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:35 MSP → 22:02 DCA
    DL 2962 · Delta · 2h 27m · 63% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip6h 27mIAH 14:35 to DCA 22:02, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.