tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Oklahoma City via Minneapolis: arrives on time 44%

  1. 14:35 IAH → 17:26 MSP
    DL 2678 · Delta · 2h 51m · 68% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:20 MSP → 20:31 OKC
    DL 3791 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 11m · 78% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip5h 56mIAH 14:35 to OKC 20:31, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.