tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → San Diego via Minneapolis: arrives on time 61%

  1. 15:38 PHL → 17:29 MSP
    DL 2679 · Delta · 2h 51m · 82% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 21m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:50 MSP → 20:36 SAN
    DL 2145 · Delta · 3h 50m · 73% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 36 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 21m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip8h 02mPHL 15:38 to SAN 20:36, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.