tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Omaha via Minneapolis: arrives on time 56%

  1. 15:38 PHL → 17:29 MSP
    DL 2679 · Delta · 2h 51m · 82% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:25 MSP → 19:48 OMA
    DL 4024 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 23m · 71% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Omaha is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 10mPHL 15:38 to OMA 19:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.