tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Dulles via Minneapolis: arrives on time 70%

  1. 15:38 PHL → 17:29 MSP
    DL 2679 · Delta · 2h 51m · 82% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 26m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:55 MSP → 23:25 IAD
    DL 4129 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 30m · 78% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 101 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 26m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip7h 47mPHL 15:38 to IAD 23:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.