tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → New York via Detroit: arrives on time 72%

  1. 10:06 BNA → 12:46 DTW
    DL 2682 · Delta · 1h 43m · 89% on time, 3.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 32m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:18 DTW → 18:29 JFK
    DL 2934 · Delta · 2h 11m · 79% on time, 3.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 167 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 32m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (3.7% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.1% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 23mBNA 10:06 to JFK 18:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.