tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Richmond via Detroit: arrives on time 69%

  1. 10:06 BNA → 12:46 DTW
    DL 2682 · Delta · 1h 43m · 89% on time, 3.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 49m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:35 DTW → 16:21 RIC
    DL 4096 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 1h 46m · 76% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Richmond is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 64 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 49m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (3.7% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip5h 15mBNA 10:06 to RIC 16:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.