tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → San Francisco via Detroit: arrives on time 54%

  1. 13:17 CLT → 15:05 DTW
    DL 2684 · Delta · 1h 49m · 77% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:19 DTW → 18:13 SFO
    DL 442 · Delta · 4h 54m · 69% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection81%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 19% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (81%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip7h 56mCLT 13:17 to SFO 18:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.