tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Des Moines via Minneapolis: arrives on time 75%

  1. 11:40 PHL → 13:25 MSP
    DL 2688 · Delta · 2h 45m · 87% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:40 MSP → 16:54 DSM
    DL 4913 · Delta, flown by Endeavor · 1h 14m · 80% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Des Moines is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 14mPHL 11:40 to DSM 16:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.