tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Denver via Minneapolis: arrives on time 68%

  1. 11:40 PHL → 13:25 MSP
    DL 2688 · Delta · 2h 45m · 87% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:27 MSP → 15:38 DEN
    DL 1025 · Delta · 2h 11m · 80% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 58mPHL 11:40 to DEN 15:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.