tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tampa → Seattle via Minneapolis: arrives on time 63%

  1. 15:17 TPA → 17:40 MSP
    DL 2696 · Delta · 3h 23m · 73% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:55 MSP → 20:48 SEA
    DL 881 · Delta · 3h 53m · 75% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h behind Tampa). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip8h 31mTPA 15:17 to SEA 20:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.