tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → San Francisco via Minneapolis: arrives on time 70%

  1. 12:20 DTW → 13:14 MSP
    DL 2697 · Delta · 1h 54m · 84% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 53m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:07 MSP → 17:14 SFO
    DL 756 · Delta · 4h 06m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 68 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 53m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip7h 53mDTW 12:20 to SFO 17:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.