tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Memphis via Minneapolis: arrives on time 76%

  1. 12:20 DTW → 13:14 MSP
    DL 2697 · Delta · 1h 54m · 84% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 31m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:45 MSP → 17:59 MEM
    DL 4063 · Delta, flown by SkyWest · 2h 14m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 106 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 31m layover.
Arrives on time76%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 39mDTW 12:20 to MEM 17:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.