tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → New York via Phoenix: arrives on time 73%

  1. 18:30 SEA → 21:24 PHX
    DL 2698 · Delta · 2h 54m · 77% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:35 PHX → 06:27 JFK +1 day
    DL 548 · Delta · 4h 52m · 89% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 8h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip8h 57mSEA 18:30 to JFK 06:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.