tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Detroit via Raleigh/Durham: arrives on time 52%

  1. 14:20 MSP → 17:54 RDU
    DL 2699 · Delta · 2h 34m · 79% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Raleigh/Durham (RDU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:40 RDU → 20:31 DTW
    DL 1407 · Delta · 1h 51m · 83% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip5h 11mMSP 14:20 to DTW 20:31, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.