tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Los Angeles via Raleigh/Durham: arrives on time 43%

  1. 14:20 MSP → 17:54 RDU
    DL 2699 · Delta · 2h 34m · 79% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Raleigh/Durham (RDU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:40 RDU → 20:50 LAX
    DL 508 · Delta · 5h 10m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 2 h behind Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip8h 30mMSP 14:20 to LAX 20:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.