tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Indianapolis via Minneapolis: arrives on time 55%

  1. 18:59 RDU → 20:49 MSP
    DL 2699 · Delta · 2h 50m · 80% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Minneapolis (MSP) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:40 MSP → 00:17 IND +1 day
    DL 674 · Delta · 1h 37m · 78% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 33 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip5h 18mRDU 18:59 to IND 00:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.