tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Orlando → Dulles via New York: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:00 MCO → 08:38 JFK
    DL 2702 · Delta · 2h 38m · 93% on time, 0.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 38m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:16 JFK → 11:48 IAD
    DL 5835 · Delta, flown by Republic · 1h 32m · 87% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 53 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 38m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.4% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip5h 48mMCO 06:00 to IAD 11:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.