tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Louisville via Atlanta: arrives on time 78%

  1. 14:10 BWI → 16:08 ATL
    DL 2711 · Delta · 1h 58m · 85% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 51m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:59 ATL → 19:24 SDF
    DL 2831 · Delta · 1h 25m · 84% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 66 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 51m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip5h 14mBWI 14:10 to SDF 19:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.