tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → San Francisco via Atlanta: arrives on time 50%

  1. 14:10 BWI → 16:08 ATL
    DL 2711 · Delta · 1h 58m · 85% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 34m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:42 ATL → 21:48 SFO
    DL 495 · Delta · 5h 01m · 51% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 169 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 34m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip10h 33mBWI 14:10 to SFO 21:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.